Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
San Cristóbal vs Grama Prediction
Match prediction
- Grama's superior form, attack, and defence ratings justify favouring them, though the model's equal 45% draw and away probabilities show the win is far from certain.
- San Cristóbal's leaky defence and heavy away defeats contrast with Grama's stronger rearguard, supporting the double-chance advice over a straight away win.
- The head-to-head record leans heavily toward Grama, but several draws in this fixture suggest the draw component of the advice carries real weight.
- Both teams' low-scoring profiles and San Cristóbal's home resilience make a tight, low-goal contest likely, reinforcing caution around backing Grama outright.
- Grama's away form is mixed, with a loss and narrow win, which tempers confidence in an away victory and supports the safer draw-or-Grama cover.
- The Poisson split is nearly even, contradicting the stronger comparison metrics and explaining why the model hedges with a double chance rather than a single winner.
- Predicted winner
- Grama
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Grama
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | San Cristóbal | Grama |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Attack | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Defence | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| Poisson | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| H2h | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Goals | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| Total | 35.0% | 65.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
San Cristóbal
Recent form: DLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Grama
Recent form: WDLW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Grama 3–1 San Cristóbal (26 Apr 2026)
- San Cristóbal 1–1 Grama (21 Dec 2025)
- Grama 0–0 San Cristóbal (09 Mar 2025)
- San Cristóbal 0–3 Grama (27 Oct 2024)
- San Cristóbal 2–2 Grama (01 May 2024)


