Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 5

San Cristóbal vs Grama Prediction

San Cristóbal badgeSan Cristóbal vs Grama badgeGrama

Match prediction

  • Grama's superior form, attack, and defence ratings justify favouring them, though the model's equal 45% draw and away probabilities show the win is far from certain.
  • San Cristóbal's leaky defence and heavy away defeats contrast with Grama's stronger rearguard, supporting the double-chance advice over a straight away win.
  • The head-to-head record leans heavily toward Grama, but several draws in this fixture suggest the draw component of the advice carries real weight.
  • Both teams' low-scoring profiles and San Cristóbal's home resilience make a tight, low-goal contest likely, reinforcing caution around backing Grama outright.
  • Grama's away form is mixed, with a loss and narrow win, which tempers confidence in an away victory and supports the safer draw-or-Grama cover.
  • The Poisson split is nearly even, contradicting the stronger comparison metrics and explaining why the model hedges with a double chance rather than a single winner.
Predicted winner
Grama
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Grama
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorSan CristóbalGrama
Form36.0%64.0%
Attack40.0%60.0%
Defence27.0%73.0%
Poisson51.0%49.0%
H2h25.0%75.0%
Goals31.0%69.0%
Total35.0%65.0%

Team form and goal analysis

San Cristóbal

Recent form: DLWL.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Grama

Recent form: WDLW.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Grama 3–1 San Cristóbal (26 Apr 2026)
  2. San Cristóbal 1–1 Grama (21 Dec 2025)
  3. Grama 0–0 San Cristóbal (09 Mar 2025)
  4. San Cristóbal 0–3 Grama (27 Oct 2024)
  5. San Cristóbal 2–2 Grama (01 May 2024)
Loading interactive prediction…