Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolomé vs Villa Santa Brígida Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home win probability is only level with the draw, so the outright San Bartolomé pick carries real uncertainty despite the stronger overall profile.
- San Bartolomé's superior form, attack and Poisson ratings, plus a 62% head-to-head edge, justify favouring them, though the 10% away probability is the only clearly suppressed outcome.
- Villa Santa Brígida's two home clean sheets contrast with three goals conceded away, suggesting their defensive solidity may not travel to this fixture.
- Both teams scoring in every San Bartolomé match and their 4-2 home win support the +1.5 goals leg, while Villa Santa Brígida's low scoring rate tempers the ceiling.
- Head-to-head history shows San Bartolomé unbeaten at home against this opponent, reinforcing the home side of the combo despite recent draws between them.
- The draw probability matching the home win means the combo's winner leg is the fragile part, whereas the goals leg looks the more comfortably supported element.
- Predicted winner
- San Bartolomé
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : San Bartolomé and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | San Bartolomé | Villa Santa Brígida |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 61.8% | 38.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
San Bartolomé
Recent form: WWD.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Villa Santa Brígida
Recent form: DLW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- San Bartolomé 2–1 Villa Santa Brígida (11 Apr 2026)
- Villa Santa Brígida 1–1 San Bartolomé (06 Dec 2025)
- Villa Santa Brígida 3–3 San Bartolomé (08 Mar 2025)
- San Bartolomé 2–0 Villa Santa Brígida (26 Oct 2024)
- Villa Santa Brígida 3–0 San Bartolomé (17 Feb 2024)