Salford City vs Fleetwood Town Prediction

Match prediction

• Salford's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings support the double-chance advice, though the 45-45 split shows the model sees little edge over a draw.
• Fleetwood's head-to-head and goals records favour them, but those metrics conflict with Salford's stronger overall profile and recent results.
• Salford's home record of three wins from four, including two clean sheets, strengthens the case for backing them at the Peninsula Stadium.
• Fleetwood's recent form of three defeats in five, with losses to Rochdale, Oldham and Barnet, weakens their case despite the head-to-head edge.
• Both teams' goal totals suggest a low-scoring contest, which supports the draw component of the double chance rather than a decisive home win.
• The draw probability matching the home win probability indicates the model treats this as near-even, making the double chance the safer expression of the prediction.

Predicted winner

Salford City

Betting advice

Double chance : Salford City or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Salford City 0–0 Fleetwood Town (29 Dec 2025)
2. Fleetwood Town 1–1 Salford City (09 Dec 2025)
3. Salford City 0–2 Fleetwood Town (18 Jan 2025)
4. Fleetwood Town 2–2 Salford City (29 Oct 2024)