Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Salamanca II vs Colegios Diocesanos Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home win probability is only level with the draw, so the Salamanca II advice carries clear uncertainty rather than firm conviction.
- Salamanca II's attack rating of 83 against Colegios Diocesanos' 17 is the strongest single separator supporting the home winner.
- Both sides show identical 50% form and split head-to-head records, which undercuts any claim of a decisive historical or momentum edge.
- Colegios Diocesanos have scored once in four games and failed to score three times, reinforcing their 10% away win probability.
- Salamanca II's defensive weakness, conceding three per home game, explains why the draw absorbs nearly as much probability as the win.
- The Poisson split of 100 to 0 favours Salamanca II strongly, but the level draw probability shows the model still prices a real stalemate risk.
- Predicted winner
- Salamanca II
- Betting advice
- Winner : Salamanca II
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Salamanca II | Colegios Diocesanos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| Defence | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Total | 57.6% | 42.4% |
Team form and goal analysis
Salamanca II
Recent form: LDLL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Colegios Diocesanos
Recent form: LLLD.
Average goals scored: 0.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Colegios Diocesanos 1–0 Salamanca II (16 Apr 2022)
- Salamanca II 1–0 Colegios Diocesanos (04 Dec 2021)
- Salamanca II 2–0 Colegios Diocesanos (05 Jun 2021)
- Colegios Diocesanos 1–0 Salamanca II (24 Apr 2021)