Saint-Malo vs Saumur Prediction
Saint-Malo vs
Saumur
Match prediction
- Saint-Malo's unbeaten home record and superior defensive form justify the double-chance protection, while Saumur's away scoring drought supports the cautious approach.
- The model's even 50-50 split between home win and draw, with zero away probability, aligns with pairing Saint-Malo or draw rather than backing an outright victory.
- Saumur's failure to score in three of five matches and zero away goals makes the under 3.5 goals component consistent with their limited attacking output.
- Saint-Malo's low-scoring profile, including two goalless draws, reinforces the under 3.5 goals advice despite their strong overall comparison metrics.
- Head-to-head results show home advantage dominating, with Saint-Malo winning all three home meetings, supporting the double-chance selection.
- Saumur's defensive vulnerabilities and recent heavy defeat suggest they may concede, but their own scoring struggles keep the total goals expectation low.
- Predicted winner
- Saint-Malo
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Saint-Malo or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Saint-Malo | Saumur |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 71.3% | 28.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Saint-Malo
Recent form: DWDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Saumur
Recent form: DLWLL.
Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Saumur 0–2 Saint-Malo (14 Mar 2026)
- Saint-Malo 3–0 Saumur (04 Oct 2025)
- Saint-Malo 2–0 Saumur (19 Apr 2025)
- Saumur 0–1 Saint-Malo (07 Dec 2024)
- Saint-Malo 3–0 Saumur (26 Jan 2013)
