France · National 2 - Group B

Saint-Malo vs Saumur Prediction

Saint-Malo badgeSaint-Malo vs Saumur badgeSaumur

Match prediction

  • Saint-Malo's unbeaten home record and superior defensive form justify the double-chance protection, while Saumur's away scoring drought supports the cautious approach.
  • The model's even 50-50 split between home win and draw, with zero away probability, aligns with pairing Saint-Malo or draw rather than backing an outright victory.
  • Saumur's failure to score in three of five matches and zero away goals makes the under 3.5 goals component consistent with their limited attacking output.
  • Saint-Malo's low-scoring profile, including two goalless draws, reinforces the under 3.5 goals advice despite their strong overall comparison metrics.
  • Head-to-head results show home advantage dominating, with Saint-Malo winning all three home meetings, supporting the double-chance selection.
  • Saumur's defensive vulnerabilities and recent heavy defeat suggest they may concede, but their own scoring struggles keep the total goals expectation low.
Predicted winner
Saint-Malo
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Saint-Malo or draw and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorSaint-MaloSaumur
Form67.0%33.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence80.0%20.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals100.0%0.0%
Total71.3%28.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Saint-Malo

Recent form: DWDWL.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Saumur

Recent form: DLWLL.

Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Saumur 0–2 Saint-Malo (14 Mar 2026)
  2. Saint-Malo 3–0 Saumur (04 Oct 2025)
  3. Saint-Malo 2–0 Saumur (19 Apr 2025)
  4. Saumur 0–1 Saint-Malo (07 Dec 2024)
  5. Saint-Malo 3–0 Saumur (26 Jan 2013)
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