Azerbaijan · Birinci Dasta

Şahdağ vs Zaqatala Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONWinner : Şahdağ

Şahdağ badgeŞahdağ vs Zaqatala badgeZaqatala

Match prediction

  • Şahdağ's perfect three-win start, including two away victories, supports the home-favorite advice despite Zaqatala's mixed record.
  • The model rates home and draw equally at 45%, so the winner advice carries real draw risk rather than clear separation.
  • Şahdağ's defensive score of 83 against Zaqatala's 17 is the strongest single comparison metric behind the prediction.
  • Zaqatala's away form is the key weakness, with a 3-0 loss and only one away point from two trips.
  • Şahdağ's 62-38 head-to-head edge is modest and recent meetings split, so historical dominance should not be overstated.
  • Şahdağ's goals cluster early while Zaqatala concedes mostly before halftime, suggesting the home side can strike first.
Predicted winner
Şahdağ
Betting advice
Winner : Şahdağ
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorŞahdağZaqatala
Form69.0%31.0%
Attack58.0%42.0%
Defence83.0%17.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h62.0%38.0%
Goals56.0%44.0%
Total65.6%34.4%

Team form and goal analysis

Şahdağ

Recent form: WWW.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Zaqatala

Recent form: DWL.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Zaqatala 0–1 Şahdağ (22 Apr 2026)
  2. Şahdağ 1–0 Zaqatala (25 Feb 2026)
  3. Zaqatala 1–0 Şahdağ (20 Nov 2025)
  4. Şahdağ 1–1 Zaqatala (27 Feb 2017)
  5. Zaqatala 2–2 Şahdağ (07 Sep 2016)
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