Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6
Saguntino vs Utiel Prediction
Match prediction
- Saguntino and Utiel share identical 45% win and draw probabilities, so the model's double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than clear home dominance.
- Utiel's three draws in four matches and two away blanks explain why the draw carries equal weight to a Saguntino win.
- Saguntino's attack and Poisson edges are offset by a WLLD run featuring three scoreless defeats, weakening confidence in an outright home victory.
- Both teams' goal data show every match staying under 3.5, supporting the low-scoring half of the combined advice.
- Head-to-head results split evenly across four meetings, reinforcing that neither side holds a decisive historical advantage.
- Utiel's away scoring drought and Saguntino's failed-to-score pattern in two of four games point toward a tight, low-goal contest.
- Predicted winner
- Saguntino
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Saguntino or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Saguntino | Utiel |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Goals | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Total | 59.2% | 40.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Saguntino
Recent form: WLLD.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Utiel
Recent form: DDLD.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Utiel 1–3 Saguntino (17 Jan 2026)
- Saguntino 2–0 Utiel (07 Sep 2025)
- Saguntino 1–2 Utiel (04 May 2025)
- Utiel 1–1 Saguntino (22 Dec 2024)