Russia · Second League - Group 3

Ryazan vs Zenit Penza Prediction

Ryazan badgeRyazan vs Zenit Penza badgeZenit Penza

Match prediction

  • Ryazan's superior form, attack, defence and head-to-head scores support the home-winner advice, though the model's 50% draw probability signals real uncertainty.
  • Zenit Penza's away record is weak, with two wins and a 2.60 goals-against average on the road, reinforcing Ryazan's edge.
  • Ryazan's defence concedes only 0.60 goals per game and never more than two, while Zenit Penza's away attack averages just 0.80.
  • The head-to-head record leans heavily toward Ryazan, yet recent meetings include away wins and draws, so dominance is not absolute.
  • Both teams' recent matches show low-scoring tendencies, which could keep the fixture tight despite Ryazan's statistical superiority.
  • The equal 50% home and draw probabilities mean the advice carries genuine risk, since a draw is as likely as a Ryazan win.
Predicted winner
Ryazan
Betting advice
Winner : Ryazan
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorRyazanZenit Penza
Form62.0%38.0%
Attack63.0%38.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson86.0%14.0%
H2h93.0%7.0%
Goals70.0%30.0%
Total73.5%26.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Ryazan

Recent form: WDWWDDWDWDLDLLWWDWWWWWDW.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Zenit Penza

Recent form: DWLLLLLLWDLLLWLWLLWWWLDD.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Zenit Penza 1–2 Ryazan (11 Apr 2026)
  2. Ryazan 2–1 Zenit Penza (13 Sep 2025)
  3. Zenit Penza 0–1 Ryazan (24 May 2025)
  4. Ryazan 1–1 Zenit Penza (04 Aug 2024)
  5. Zenit Penza 0–1 Ryazan (21 Apr 2024)
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