Russia · Second League - Group 3
Ryazan vs Zenit Penza Prediction
Match prediction
- Ryazan's superior form, attack, defence and head-to-head scores support the home-winner advice, though the model's 50% draw probability signals real uncertainty.
- Zenit Penza's away record is weak, with two wins and a 2.60 goals-against average on the road, reinforcing Ryazan's edge.
- Ryazan's defence concedes only 0.60 goals per game and never more than two, while Zenit Penza's away attack averages just 0.80.
- The head-to-head record leans heavily toward Ryazan, yet recent meetings include away wins and draws, so dominance is not absolute.
- Both teams' recent matches show low-scoring tendencies, which could keep the fixture tight despite Ryazan's statistical superiority.
- The equal 50% home and draw probabilities mean the advice carries genuine risk, since a draw is as likely as a Ryazan win.
- Predicted winner
- Ryazan
- Betting advice
- Winner : Ryazan
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Ryazan | Zenit Penza |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Attack | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 86.0% | 14.0% |
| H2h | 93.0% | 7.0% |
| Goals | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| Total | 73.5% | 26.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Ryazan
Recent form: WDWWDDWDWDLDLLWWDWWWWWDW.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Zenit Penza
Recent form: DWLLLLLLWDLLLWLWLLWWWLDD.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Zenit Penza 1–2 Ryazan (11 Apr 2026)
- Ryazan 2–1 Zenit Penza (13 Sep 2025)
- Zenit Penza 0–1 Ryazan (24 May 2025)
- Ryazan 1–1 Zenit Penza (04 Aug 2024)
- Zenit Penza 0–1 Ryazan (21 Apr 2024)


