Ryazan vs Avangard Kursk Prediction

Match prediction

• Ryazan's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings all point one way, supporting the double chance even though the win probability is level with the draw.
• The 45-45 split between home win and draw explains why the safer double chance is advised rather than a straight Ryazan victory.
• Ryazan's away record of eight wins and one loss from thirteen is stronger than their home record, which tempers any home-advantage assumption.
• Avangard Kursk's away scoring average of 0.90 goals per game and five away blanks suggest they lack the output to overturn the favoured side.
• Ryazan's defensive record of only fifteen goals conceded in twenty-five matches, with fourteen clean sheets, underpins the low-risk draw coverage.
• The head-to-head is mixed with recent draws, so it qualifies rather than confirms the home edge, keeping the draw a genuine part of the advice.

Predicted winner

Ryazan

Betting advice

Double chance : Ryazan or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Avangard Kursk 0–0 Ryazan (13 Jun 2026)
2. Avangard Kursk 3–0 Ryazan (24 Oct 2022)
3. Ryazan 1–1 Avangard Kursk (27 Aug 2022)
4. Ryazan 1–0 Avangard Kursk (19 Oct 2021)
5. Avangard Kursk 0–3 Ryazan (15 Aug 2021)