Belgium · First Amateur Division
RWDM vs Rochefort Prediction
· Edmond Machtens Stadium
Match prediction
- RWDM's perfect five-win start, including four clean sheets, justifies the model's decision to avoid backing Rochefort outright.
- The model's split 45-45 probabilities between home and draw explain why double chance, not a straight win, is the safer advice.
- Rochefort's superior attack and scoring output conflict with their weaker defence, which is why the model still caps their win probability at 10%.
- RWDM's defensive record of one goal conceded in five games anchors the low-scoring profile that supports avoiding defeat.
- The single 2020 cup meeting, an 8-1 RWDM win, is too small a sample to carry much weight in the current prediction.
- Rochefort's away form, three wins from two away fixtures, is the main evidence qualifying the advice despite their inferior overall metrics.
- Predicted winner
- RWDM
- Betting advice
- Double chance : RWDM or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | RWDM | Rochefort |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Attack | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Defence | 86.0% | 14.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 89.0% | 11.0% |
| Total | 68.8% | 31.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
RWDM
Recent form: WWWWW.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Rochefort
Recent form: WWWLD.
Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Rochefort 1–8 RWDM (10 Oct 2020)