Belgium · Second Amateur Division - ACFF

RUS Binche vs Ganshoren Prediction

RUS Binche badgeRUS Binche vs Ganshoren badgeGanshoren

Match prediction

  • The model's three-way probabilities are nearly level, so the home win is a marginal lean rather than a clear edge.
  • Ganshoren's superior form, attack, and defence ratings conflict with the home-favouring head-to-head and Poisson split, which explains the cautious double-chance advice.
  • Both teams scoring freely and conceding regularly supports the +1.5 goals component, with Binche's matches rarely staying under that line.
  • Ganshoren's away form includes heavy scoring wins but also a four-goal home defeat, showing the volatility behind their modest 30% away probability.
  • Binche's home record of one win and two draws without defeat underpins the draw protection in the double chance.
  • The head-to-head sample is small and mixed, so it strengthens Binche's side only mildly rather than overriding Ganshoren's stronger recent metrics.
Predicted winner
RUS Binche
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : RUS Binche or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorRUS BincheGanshoren
Form44.0%56.0%
Attack42.0%58.0%
Defence44.0%56.0%
Poisson35.0%65.0%
H2h64.0%36.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total46.5%53.5%

Team form and goal analysis

RUS Binche

Recent form: LWDLDW.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Ganshoren

Recent form: WLDWWW.

Average goals scored: 3.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Ganshoren 3–1 RUS Binche (18 Jan 2026)
  2. RUS Binche 1–0 Ganshoren (09 Nov 2025)
  3. Ganshoren 0–0 RUS Binche (28 Apr 2024)
  4. RUS Binche 1–0 Ganshoren (26 Nov 2023)
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