Ruch Chorzów vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45 percent each, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
- Ruch's superior form and defensive scores, plus a 100 percent head-to-head record, support favouring them, though the single meeting is a small sample.
- Lechia's away record is empty because all seven fixtures were at home, making their away form and scoring data unreliable for this neutral-venue friendly.
- Both attacks rate identically at 50, while Ruch's defensive advantage is the main separator behind the home-or-draw lean.
- Lechia's heavy home defeats and 2.00 goals-against average expose defensive fragility that could offset their recent high-scoring wins.
- Ruch's tendency toward draws and low-scoring games tempers outright home confidence, justifying the draw protection in the advice.
- Predicted winner
- Ruch Chorzów
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Ruch Chorzów or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Ruch Chorzów | Lechia Gdansk |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 59.7% | 40.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Ruch Chorzów
Recent form: DWLDWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Lechia Gdansk
Recent form: WWLDLLD.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Ruch Chorzów 1–0 Lechia Gdansk (14 Aug 2026)