Russia · Second League - Group 1

Rubin Yalta vs FK Chayka 2 Prediction

· Avangard Stadium

Rubin Yalta badgeRubin Yalta vs FK Chayka 2 badgeFK Chayka 2

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance rather than a straight win, since neither outcome clearly dominates.
  • Rubin Yalta's superior form, defensive record, and head-to-head win support the unbeaten advice despite Chayka 2's slightly stronger attack metric.
  • Chayka 2's 18 losses in 25 matches and 2.20 goals conceded per game make an upset win unlikely, reinforcing the double chance selection.
  • The single head-to-head meeting, a 1-0 Rubin Yalta away win, is too small a sample to carry much weight on its own.
  • Rubin Yalta's modest 1.30 goals per game suggests a low-scoring contest, which keeps the draw component of the advice relevant.
  • Chayka 2's recent 3-1 win over Kyzyltash shows they can occasionally score, so the draw leg remains a necessary safeguard.
Predicted winner
Rubin Yalta
Betting advice
Double chance : Rubin Yalta or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorRubin YaltaFK Chayka 2
Form60.0%40.0%
Attack44.0%56.0%
Defence68.0%32.0%
Poisson82.0%18.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals100.0%0.0%
Total63.5%36.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Rubin Yalta

Recent form: WLDDLWWWLDWDLLDDWDWWWLLW.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

FK Chayka 2

Recent form: LLDLLLLLLLLLLWWLLLDWWLLLW.

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. FK Chayka 2 0–1 Rubin Yalta (28 Mar 2026)
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