Russia · Second League - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs FK Chayka 2 Prediction
· Avangard Stadium
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance rather than a straight win, since neither outcome clearly dominates.
- Rubin Yalta's superior form, defensive record, and head-to-head win support the unbeaten advice despite Chayka 2's slightly stronger attack metric.
- Chayka 2's 18 losses in 25 matches and 2.20 goals conceded per game make an upset win unlikely, reinforcing the double chance selection.
- The single head-to-head meeting, a 1-0 Rubin Yalta away win, is too small a sample to carry much weight on its own.
- Rubin Yalta's modest 1.30 goals per game suggests a low-scoring contest, which keeps the draw component of the advice relevant.
- Chayka 2's recent 3-1 win over Kyzyltash shows they can occasionally score, so the draw leg remains a necessary safeguard.
- Predicted winner
- Rubin Yalta
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Rubin Yalta or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Rubin Yalta | FK Chayka 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Attack | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Defence | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| Poisson | 82.0% | 18.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 63.5% | 36.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Rubin Yalta
Recent form: WLDDLWWWLDWDLLDDWDWWWLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
FK Chayka 2
Recent form: LLDLLLLLLLLLLWWLLLDWWLLLW.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- FK Chayka 2 0–1 Rubin Yalta (28 Mar 2026)


