Rozova dolina vs Dimitrovgrad Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Rozova dolina a 35% home win and 35% draw against Dimitrovgrad's 30%, which frames the double-chance advice as a narrow lean rather than a clear edge. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Rozova dolina leads on form (57 vs 43), defence (60 vs 40) and Poisson (71 vs 29), yet the head-to-head (25 vs 75) and goals (33 vs 67) columns swing heavily toward Dimitrovgrad, while attack is level at 50 and the overall totals are nearly identical at 49.30 versus 50.70. The team analysis explains part of that split: Rozova dolina's DDDWLDW record includes four draws and just one defeat in seven, with three home draws and no home losses, whereas Dimitrovgrad's LLWLWLL shows five defeats, no draws at all, and a 3.00 goals-against average on the road. Rozova dolina's goals profile is similarly controlled, averaging 1.30 scored and 1.10 conceded with every match staying under 2.5 goals, while Dimitrovgrad average 1.40 scored but 2.00 conceded, including three matches over 2.5 goals against them. The last-five records sharpen the contrast in momentum, as Rozova dolina have won two, drawn two and lost one with a 2-0 home win over Maritsa Plovdiv, whereas Dimitrovgrad have lost three of five, including a 0-3 home defeat to Sayana Haskovo and a 1-3 loss at Sozopol. The head-to-head record is the main counterweight, since Dimitrovgrad have won five of the nine completed meetings and Rozova dolina only two, with the most recent fixture a 1-0 Dimitrovgrad home win in February 2026 and a 1-1 draw in August 2025. That historical dominance is partly venue-driven, as Dimitrovgrad's wins cluster at Stadion Minyor, including 4-2 and 5-0, while Rozova dolina's only home win in the series was 5-1 back in 2022. The draw probability therefore looks well supported by Rozova dolina's four draws and unbeaten home record, but the 35% home win is qualified by Dimitrovgrad's superior head-to-head and goal metrics, so the double chance reads as a reasonable but not comfortable position.

Predicted winner

Rozova dolina

Betting advice

Double chance : Rozova dolina or draw

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Dimitrovgrad 1–0 Rozova dolina (14 Feb 2026)
2. Rozova dolina 1–1 Dimitrovgrad (02 Aug 2025)
3. Dimitrovgrad 4–2 Rozova dolina (30 Apr 2025)
4. Rozova dolina —–— Dimitrovgrad (18 Jan 2025)
5. Rozova dolina 0–0 Dimitrovgrad (19 Oct 2024)