ROW Rybnik vs Stal Brzeg Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward a draw or Stal Brzeg win, assigning 45% to each of those outcomes against only 10% for a ROW Rybnik victory, and the double-chance advice reflects that combined 90% cushion. That stance is broadly consistent with the comparison metrics, where Stal Brzeg lead on form (75 versus 25), attack (55 versus 45), defence (67 versus 33), head-to-head (67 versus 33), goals (63 versus 38) and overall totals (58.0 versus 42.2). The one clear counterweight is the Poisson metric, which favours ROW Rybnik 79 to 21 and therefore qualifies rather than overturns the advice, suggesting the goal-based model sees a home-scoring path the other indicators do not. Both teams' performance profiles are strikingly similar in raw record — each has three wins, two draws and four losses from nine games — but ROW Rybnik's wins are almost entirely home-based (3 home wins, 0 away), while Stal Brzeg's away form is winless (0 wins, 3 losses), which complicates any simple read of the venue. The goals analysis reinforces that tension: ROW Rybnik average 3.20 goals at home but only 0.50 away, whereas Stal Brzeg average 2.20 at home and 0.70 away, so both sides depend heavily on home conditions for their output. Defensively, Stal Brzeg concede fewer overall (1.30 per game versus 1.70) and keep more clean sheets at home (2 versus 1), though ROW Rybnik's home defensive record of 1.40 conceded is tighter than their away figure of 2.00. The last-five records show ROW Rybnik without a win (two draws, three defeats, including a 0-4 loss at Barycz Sułów), while Stal Brzeg have two wins and three losses, so recent form mildly supports the away-leaning advice without being decisive. The head-to-head record is small but unanimous: Stal Brzeg won all three meetings, including a 2-1 friendly in July 2026 and two league wins by the same 2-1 and 2-0 scorelines, which is a meaningful but limited sample. Overall, the evidence points toward a low-confidence lean to draw or Stal Brzeg, with the Poisson split and both teams' home-dependence serving as the main reasons the outcome remains genuinely uncertain.

Predicted winner

Stal Brzeg

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Stal Brzeg

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. ROW Rybnik 1–2 Stal Brzeg (04 Jul 2026)
2. Stal Brzeg 1–2 ROW Rybnik (27 Mar 2021)
3. ROW Rybnik 0–2 Stal Brzeg (15 Aug 2020)