Rouen vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 Prediction
· Stade Robert Diochon
Match prediction
- Rouen's unbeaten home record with three clean sheets supports the double-chance advice, though two home draws show why the win itself is not assured.
- Bourg-en-bresse have lost five of eight and failed to score in five, so the away side's zero win probability reflects genuine attacking limitations.
- The model's even 50-50 split between home win and draw, with no away probability, makes the double chance the natural expression of Rouen's edge.
- Rouen's defensive record of one home goal conceded contrasts sharply with Bourg-en-bresse's 1.6 goals against per game, reinforcing the home side's advantage.
- Head-to-head results favour Rouen overall, but Bourg-en-bresse won the most recent meeting, a caution against treating the fixture as straightforward.
- Rouen's away scoring form is stronger than their home output, suggesting the home win may be narrower than the comparison metrics imply.
- Predicted winner
- Rouen
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Rouen or draw
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Rouen | Bourg-en-bresse 01 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| Attack | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| Defence | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Poisson | 96.0% | 4.0% |
| H2h | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Total | 77.7% | 22.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Rouen
Recent form: DWWWDWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Recent form: WLLLLLDD.
Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Bourg-en-bresse 01 3–1 Rouen (06 Mar 2026)
- Rouen 1–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01 (26 Sep 2025)
- Rouen 2–1 Bourg-en-bresse 01 (12 Apr 2025)
- Bourg-en-bresse 01 0–1 Rouen (22 Nov 2024)
- Rouen 1–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01 (09 Feb 2013)