Regionalliga - West · Austria

Röthis vs Swarovski Tirol II Prediction

Röthis badgeRöthis vs Swarovski Tirol II badgeSwarovski Tirol II

Match prediction

The existing model gives Röthis only a 10% win probability while splitting the remaining 90% evenly between a draw and a Swarovski Tirol II win, which is why the advice backs the away side to win or draw rather than to win outright. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where the two form scores are identical at 50.00 and the overall totals are nearly level at 49.80 and 50.30, so the model is not treating this as a mismatch. The clearest statistical separation comes from attack, where Swarovski Tirol II rates 61.00 against Röthis's 39.00, and defence, where Röthis's 54.00 is actually the stronger figure compared with 46.00, meaning the away side's edge is concentrated at one end of the pitch. The Poisson metric points the other way, favouring Röthis at 56.00 versus 44.00, which is the main internal conflict in the evidence and helps explain why the model avoids committing to a Swarovski Tirol II victory. Both teams have played eight fixtures and won three, but their routes differ: Röthis have drawn three and lost two, while Swarovski Tirol II have drawn only once and lost four, including a four-match losing streak that preceded their current three-game winning run. That recent surge is visible in the last five, where Swarovski Tirol II won three straight before the sequence shown, scoring six without reply against Fügen and three at Lustenau, whereas Röthis's last five produced two wins and three draws without defeat. The goals analysis adds nuance, since Swarovski Tirol II average 1.90 goals per game overall but only 1.00 away from home, while Röthis average 1.60 and concede 1.80, with both sides rarely involved in matches above 3.5 goals. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical record to either support or undermine the double-chance advice, and the goal-timing breakdowns are also unavailable. On balance, the even form and total ratings, Röthis's superior Poisson and defensive numbers, and Swarovski Tirol II's away-scoring limitations qualify the advice, suggesting the draw component carries much of its value rather than a clear away win.

Predicted winner
Swarovski Tirol II
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Swarovski Tirol II
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorRöthisSwarovski Tirol II
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack39.0%61.0%
Defence54.0%46.0%
Poisson56.0%44.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total49.8%50.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Röthis

Recent form: WLLWDDDW.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Swarovski Tirol II

Recent form: DLLLLWWW.

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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