Rot-weiss Oberhausen vs SV Rodinghausen Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Rot-weiss Oberhausen, but its 45% home win and 45% draw probabilities show that the advice is far from a clear-cut call, with only a 10% away win chance. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Oberhausen dominate form (94 vs 6), attack (71 vs 29), defence (73 vs 27) and Poisson (77 vs 23), yet the head-to-head (36 vs 64) and goals (47 vs 53) splits favour Rodinghausen, creating a genuine tension in the evidence. Oberhausen's team analysis reinforces the strong side of that split: a WDWLWWWWW sequence with seven wins from nine, four away wins from four, three clean sheets and only one failure to score, although their single defeat came at home. Rodinghausen's LWDDLLLLD record is the mirror image, with just one win, five defeats, no clean sheets and a four-match losing streak, which helps explain why the model's total score is 66.30 to 33.70. The goals analysis adds nuance rather than simply confirming dominance: Oberhausen average 2.40 goals for and 0.90 against, while Rodinghausen average 1.30 for and 1.90 against, so the +1.5 goals component of the advice looks plausible given Oberhausen's eight of nine matches over 0.5 and seven over 1.5. However, Rodinghausen have kept the scoreline low in several games, with no match over 2.5 goals and only four of nine over 1.5, which qualifies any expectation of a high-scoring home display. The last-five records sharpen the contrast: Oberhausen have won all five, scoring 17 and conceding four, whereas Rodinghausen have lost four and drawn one, scoring seven and conceding eleven, so recent form strongly favours the home side. The head-to-head record is the main counterweight, since the last two meetings were draws and Rodinghausen have won three of the ten listed encounters, including a 4-0 away win in 2023, so the historical 64% edge is not negligible. Overall, the evidence supports the existing Oberhausen-and-over-1.5 advice through form, defence and recent results, but the high draw probability and Rodinghausen's head-to-head record mean the outcome should be treated as uncertain rather than assured.

Predicted winner

Rot-weiss Oberhausen

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Rot-weiss Oberhausen and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Rot-weiss Oberhausen 2–2 SV Rodinghausen (21 Feb 2026)
2. SV Rodinghausen 1–1 Rot-weiss Oberhausen (30 Aug 2025)
3. SV Rodinghausen 2–1 Rot-weiss Oberhausen (26 Apr 2025)
4. Rot-weiss Oberhausen 2–2 SV Rodinghausen (02 Nov 2024)
5. Rot-weiss Oberhausen 1–1 SV Rodinghausen (27 Apr 2024)