Norway · 3. Division - Girone 2

Rosenborg II vs Melhus Prediction

Rosenborg II badgeRosenborg II vs Melhus badgeMelhus

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% Melhus split, with Rosenborg II at only 10%, frames the double chance as a cautious hedge rather than a confident away pick.
  • Melhus's superior defence and head-to-head record support the away side, yet their three straight losses without scoring undercut that edge.
  • Rosenborg II's strong attack and recent high-scoring wins conflict with their poor form and weak defence, explaining why the model still gives them little win probability.
  • The near-even draw and away probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty, so the double chance sensibly covers both outcomes rather than backing Melhus outright.
  • Melhus's recent scoring drought and Rosenborg II's defensive vulnerability pull in opposite directions, keeping the draw a live possibility within the advice.
  • Head-to-head results favour Melhus historically, but recent form and goal metrics are mixed enough that the draw-or-Melhus advice remains the balanced choice.
Predicted winner
Melhus
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Melhus
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorRosenborg IIMelhus
Form67.0%33.0%
Attack75.0%25.0%
Defence38.0%63.0%
Poisson46.0%54.0%
H2h15.0%85.0%
Goals37.0%63.0%
Total46.3%53.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Rosenborg II

Recent form: LWLWWLLDDWDWDWWLLLLWW.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Melhus

Recent form: WDWWWDDWWLDLWDWWLWLLL.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Melhus 1–1 Rosenborg II (19 Jun 2026)
  2. Rosenborg II 2–3 Melhus (15 Sep 2025)
  3. Melhus 4–1 Rosenborg II (02 Jul 2025)
  4. Rosenborg II 1–2 Melhus (16 Sep 2024)
  5. Melhus 2–2 Rosenborg II (27 May 2024)
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