Rosario Central Res. vs Unión Santa Fe Res. Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double chance coherent, since the home side carries only a 10% win probability.
- Unión's superior attack, defence, and Poisson ratings all point the same direction, reinforcing the away-leaning double chance.
- Rosario Central's recent form includes heavy defeats, suggesting the low home win probability reflects genuine weakness rather than noise.
- Unión's 15 draws in 28 matches, including a seven-game streak, directly supports the draw half of the double chance.
- The head-to-head record favours Unión, though the most recent meeting ended level, consistent with a draw-or-away outcome.
- Both teams' goal totals cluster under 2.5, implying a tight, low-scoring contest where the draw component remains live.
- Predicted winner
- Unión Santa Fe Res.
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Unión Santa Fe Res.
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Rosario Central Res. | Unión Santa Fe Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Attack | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Defence | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Poisson | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| H2h | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Goals | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Total | 40.7% | 59.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Rosario Central Res.
Recent form: LWDDLWWWWDDDLLWWLLDWDWDDWLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Unión Santa Fe Res.
Recent form: LDDWDDLWDWDDWDLWWWDDDDDDDWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Unión Santa Fe Res. 1–1 Rosario Central Res. (29 Apr 2026)
- Rosario Central Res. 2–0 Unión Santa Fe Res. (12 Jun 2025)
- Unión Santa Fe Res. 4–2 Rosario Central Res. (11 Mar 2023)
- Unión Santa Fe Res. 1–0 Rosario Central Res. (03 Oct 2022)