Roosendaal vs Vvsb Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Vvsb a 45% win probability and Roosendaal only 10%, with the draw also at 45%, which is why the advice is a double chance on draw or Vvsb rather than a straight away win. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Vvsb leads on form (57 versus 43) and attack (60 versus 40), yet the two sides are level on defence, head-to-head and goals at 50 apiece, and the Poisson metric actually tilts toward Roosendaal at 53 versus 47. The overall totals are correspondingly tight, 52.30 for Vvsb against 47.70 for Roosendaal, so the model's edge for the away side is real but modest rather than dominant. Roosendaal's six-match record of WLLWLL with two wins and four defeats, including a 5-0 loss away to Excelsior Maassluis and a 1-3 home defeat to Blauw Geel, shows a side capable of heavy collapses, though their 3-0 and 4-0 wins over Achilles Veen and GSV 28 show the same team can score freely when the match opens up. Vvsb's WLDLLW record is marginally steadier, with two wins, one draw and three defeats, and their most recent results, a 1-0 away win at Rijnvogels and a 2-1 home win over Achilles Veen, suggest better current momentum than Roosendaal's three straight losses. The goals analysis adds nuance: both teams have scored seven goals across six games at 1.20 per match, but Roosendaal concede 1.80 on average, inflated by 2.30 per away game, while Vvsb concede a more even 1.70 home and away, which helps explain why the model still leans toward the visitors despite identical attacking output. The head-to-head record is only two matches and both were won by the home side, Roosendaal 1-0 in January 2026 and Vvsb 2-1 in August 2025, so it offers no meaningful separation and is consistent with the 50-50 split shown in the comparison. Both teams have kept just one clean sheet in six and each failed to score in two or three matches, so the draw component of the advice looks well justified, while the small six-game samples and the Poisson disagreement mean the away-win half of the double chance should be treated as plausible rather than secure.

Predicted winner

Vvsb

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Vvsb

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Roosendaal 1–0 Vvsb (17 Jan 2026)
2. Vvsb 2–1 Roosendaal (23 Aug 2025)