Romania vs Sweden Prediction
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Sweden and +1.5 goals
Match prediction
- Sweden's perfect recent form and superior attack and defence metrics support the model's decision to favour them over winless Romania.
- Romania's three straight defeats, including a 6-0 loss to Poland, explain their negligible win probability and the advice to cover draw or Sweden.
- The head-to-head record leans toward Sweden, though Romania's 2019 away win shows they can occasionally upset this matchup.
- Both teams' recent matches produced goals, and Romania's leaky defence conceding four per game makes the +1.5 goals component well supported.
- Sweden's 2-1 win over Romania in September provides direct recent evidence, but that narrow margin justifies including the draw in the double chance.
- Romania's attack has been modest while Sweden's scoring is spread across matches, reinforcing that goals are likely but a Romania win is not.
- Predicted winner
- Sweden
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Sweden and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 0%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 50%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Romania | Sweden |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Poisson | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| H2h | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 29.6% | 70.4% |
Team form and goal analysis
Romania
Recent form: LLL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Sweden
Recent form: WWD.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Sweden 2–1 Romania (25 Sep 2026)
- Romania 0–2 Sweden (15 Nov 2019)
- Sweden 2–1 Romania (23 Mar 2019)
- Romania 1–0 Sweden (27 Mar 2018)