Roma W vs Lazio W Prediction
· Stadio Tre Fontane
Match prediction
- Roma's dominant head-to-head record and superior form justify favoring them, though the model's 45% home probability signals only a slight edge over the draw.
- Lazio's recent defensive resilience, including a clean sheet against Parma, complicates the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
- Roma's heavy loss to Barcelona and a goalless draw with OH Leuven show inconsistency that tempers confidence in a high-scoring home win.
- Lazio's attack has been inconsistent, scoring in some matches but blanked in others, which supports the low away win probability of 10%.
- The head-to-head history includes narrow Roma wins and draws, suggesting the -3.5 goal margin may be overly ambitious despite Roma's overall dominance.
- Both teams' small sample sizes this season limit the reliability of form and goal metrics, so the prediction carries inherent uncertainty.
- Predicted winner
- Roma W
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : Roma W and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Roma W | Lazio W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Attack | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Defence | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 93.0% | 7.0% |
| Goals | 90.0% | 10.0% |
| Total | 86.0% | 14.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Roma W
Recent form: W.
Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.
Lazio W
Recent form: D.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Lazio W 1–2 Roma W (21 Mar 2026)
- Roma W 3–0 Lazio W (28 Jan 2026)
- Lazio W 0–0 Roma W (21 Jan 2026)
- Roma W 1–0 Lazio W (16 Nov 2025)
- Roma W 3–0 Lazio W (23 Sep 2025)