4. liga - Divizie A · Czech-Republic

Rokycany vs Komárov Prediction

Rokycany badgeRokycany vs Komárov badgeKomárov

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Komárov with a double-chance draw-or-away advice, reflecting probabilities of 45% draw and 45% away against only 10% for Rokycany, so the recommendation is essentially a hedge against the home side rather than a strong away win. That stance is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Komárov leads on form (73 vs 27), attack (77 vs 23) and Poisson (71 vs 29), while Rokycany's only clear edge comes in the head-to-head split at 80 versus 20. The head-to-head record complicates the picture, however, since the last six meetings include two Rokycany home wins and a draw alongside three Komárov victories, and the most recent fixture in April 2026 ended 2-1 to Rokycany. Komárov's team analysis shows the more stable profile: seven matches without defeat (DDWWWDD), three wins and four draws, three clean sheets and only one failure to score, whereas Rokycany's WDLWLL form includes three defeats and three scoreless games. The goals analysis supports Komárov's attacking edge, with 11 goals at 1.60 per game and a 2.00 home average, compared with Rokycany's five goals at 0.80 per game, though Komárov's defensive record of 1.00 conceded per game is only moderately better than Rokycany's 1.50. Rokycany's last five results are the weakest evidence in their favour, featuring a 3-0 loss at Strakonice, home defeats to Spartak Pribram and Křimice, a 2-1 win at Nyrsko and a 0-0 draw at Doubravka, so they have scored just three goals in that span. Komárov's last five are far more resilient, with a 4-4 home draw against Strakonice, a 1-1 draw at Spartak Pribram and three wins over Nyrsko, Doubravka and Křimice, all by single-goal margins. The comparison's goals and total metrics point the other way, giving Rokycany 62 versus 38 on goals and 44 versus 56 on total, which suggests the model's own aggregate numbers are not uniformly pro-Komárov and may partly reflect home advantage or historical scoring patterns. Overall, the form, attack, Poisson and recent-results evidence jointly justify the draw-or-Komárov advice, but the head-to-head and goals metrics qualify it, and the small samples involved mean the 45-45 split between draw and away should be treated as uncertainty rather than a firm edge.

Predicted winner
Komárov
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Komárov
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorRokycanyKomárov
Form27.0%73.0%
Attack23.0%77.0%
Defence43.0%57.0%
Poisson29.0%71.0%
H2h80.0%20.0%
Goals62.0%38.0%
Total44.0%56.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Rokycany

Recent form: WDLWLL.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Komárov

Recent form: DDWWWDD.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Rokycany 2–1 Komárov (11 Apr 2026)
  2. Komárov 1–2 Rokycany (13 Sep 2025)
  3. Komárov 0–2 Rokycany (05 Apr 2025)
  4. Rokycany 0–2 Komárov (07 Sep 2024)
  5. Komárov 1–2 Rokycany (27 Apr 2024)
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