Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

Roda vs SC Torrevieja Prediction

Roda badgeRoda vs SC Torrevieja badgeSC Torrevieja

Match prediction

  • Roda's unbeaten home record and superior attack rating support the double-chance advice, though the model's equal 45% home and draw probabilities show the win is far from assured.
  • Torrevieja's better recent form and win-or-lose profile raise upset risk, but their two defeats and failure to score twice suggest inconsistency rather than sustained threat.
  • Both sides concede regularly and neither keeps clean sheets, so the draw component of the advice carries real weight alongside Roda's modest home edge.
  • The Poisson split favors Roda more strongly than the headline probabilities, indicating the double chance is the safer expression of that underlying edge.
  • With no head-to-head history and only four matches played each, the form and comparison metrics rest on small samples that warrant caution.
  • Torrevieja's away form includes a win but also heavy defeats, so their 10% win probability reflects genuine away vulnerability rather than pure model bias.
Predicted winner
Roda
Betting advice
Double chance : Roda or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorRodaSC Torrevieja
Form45.0%55.0%
Attack56.0%44.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson63.0%37.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total53.5%46.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Roda

Recent form: WLDD.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

SC Torrevieja

Recent form: WLLW.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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