Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Robres vs Binéfar Prediction
Match prediction
- Binéfar's far stronger recent form and superior attack metrics underpin the model's 45% away win probability, though the equal draw probability signals real uncertainty.
- Robres' winless four-match start, with three defeats, explains why the model assigns only a 10% home win chance despite home advantage.
- The head-to-head record favors Robres historically, a genuine conflict that likely tempers confidence in Binéfar and supports the cautious double-chance advice.
- Both teams have conceded in every match this season, making the +1.5 goals component of the advice well supported by defensive evidence.
- Binéfar's away scoring average of 2.5 goals per game strengthens the over 1.5 expectation, even though their away form includes heavy defeats.
- Robres' attack has managed just one goal in three of four matches, so the draw-or-Binéfar combination reflects their limited scoring threat.
- Predicted winner
- Binéfar
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Binéfar and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Robres | Binéfar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Attack | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Defence | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Poisson | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| H2h | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Goals | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Total | 42.8% | 57.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Robres
Recent form: LLDL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Binéfar
Recent form: WLLD.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Robres 3–3 Binéfar (21 Feb 2026)
- Binéfar 2–0 Robres (11 Oct 2025)
- Binéfar 0–1 Robres (23 Apr 2023)
- Robres 1–0 Binéfar (17 Dec 2022)
- Robres 2–0 Binéfar (20 Mar 2022)


