Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 17

Robres vs Binéfar Prediction

Robres badgeRobres vs Binéfar badgeBinéfar

Match prediction

  • Binéfar's far stronger recent form and superior attack metrics underpin the model's 45% away win probability, though the equal draw probability signals real uncertainty.
  • Robres' winless four-match start, with three defeats, explains why the model assigns only a 10% home win chance despite home advantage.
  • The head-to-head record favors Robres historically, a genuine conflict that likely tempers confidence in Binéfar and supports the cautious double-chance advice.
  • Both teams have conceded in every match this season, making the +1.5 goals component of the advice well supported by defensive evidence.
  • Binéfar's away scoring average of 2.5 goals per game strengthens the over 1.5 expectation, even though their away form includes heavy defeats.
  • Robres' attack has managed just one goal in three of four matches, so the draw-or-Binéfar combination reflects their limited scoring threat.
Predicted winner
Binéfar
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Binéfar and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorRobresBinéfar
Form20.0%80.0%
Attack36.0%64.0%
Defence45.0%55.0%
Poisson27.0%73.0%
H2h71.0%29.0%
Goals58.0%42.0%
Total42.8%57.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Robres

Recent form: LLDL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Binéfar

Recent form: WLLD.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Robres 3–3 Binéfar (21 Feb 2026)
  2. Binéfar 2–0 Robres (11 Oct 2025)
  3. Binéfar 0–1 Robres (23 Apr 2023)
  4. Robres 1–0 Binéfar (17 Dec 2022)
  5. Robres 2–0 Binéfar (20 Mar 2022)
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