Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Pradejón Prediction
OUR RECOMMENDATIONWinner : Pradejón
Match prediction
- Pradejón's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson metrics support the away-winner advice, though the 45-45 split with draw signals limited conviction.
- River Ebro's head-to-head and goals edge conflict with their weak form and defensive numbers, qualifying the away pick rather than overturning it.
- River Ebro's 7-0 away loss and zero clean sheets expose a defence conceding 2.6 goals per game, reinforcing Pradejón's attacking case.
- Pradejón's away record of two wins from two, including a clean sheet, supports their status as the stronger travelling side.
- Both teams' goals cluster late, with River Ebro conceding 46% after the 76th minute, suggesting the match may be decided in its closing stages.
- The small five-match samples and stale head-to-head meetings mean the model's edge rests mainly on current form rather than historical patterns.
- Predicted winner
- Pradejón
- Betting advice
- Winner : Pradejón
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | River Ebro | Pradejón |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Attack | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Defence | 32.0% | 68.0% |
| Poisson | 16.0% | 84.0% |
| H2h | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Goals | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Total | 43.5% | 56.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
River Ebro
Recent form: LLLWD.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Pradejón
Recent form: LWDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- River Ebro 1–0 Pradejón (21 Feb 2021)
- Pradejón 0–0 River Ebro (22 Nov 2020)
- Pradejón 2–1 River Ebro (12 Jan 2020)
- River Ebro 3–0 Pradejón (25 Aug 2019)


