Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 16

River Ebro vs Pradejón Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONWinner : Pradejón

River Ebro badgeRiver Ebro vs Pradejón badgePradejón

Match prediction

  • Pradejón's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson metrics support the away-winner advice, though the 45-45 split with draw signals limited conviction.
  • River Ebro's head-to-head and goals edge conflict with their weak form and defensive numbers, qualifying the away pick rather than overturning it.
  • River Ebro's 7-0 away loss and zero clean sheets expose a defence conceding 2.6 goals per game, reinforcing Pradejón's attacking case.
  • Pradejón's away record of two wins from two, including a clean sheet, supports their status as the stronger travelling side.
  • Both teams' goals cluster late, with River Ebro conceding 46% after the 76th minute, suggesting the match may be decided in its closing stages.
  • The small five-match samples and stale head-to-head meetings mean the model's edge rests mainly on current form rather than historical patterns.
Predicted winner
Pradejón
Betting advice
Winner : Pradejón
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorRiver EbroPradejón
Form36.0%64.0%
Attack42.0%58.0%
Defence32.0%68.0%
Poisson16.0%84.0%
H2h64.0%36.0%
Goals71.0%29.0%
Total43.5%56.5%

Team form and goal analysis

River Ebro

Recent form: LLLWD.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Pradejón

Recent form: LWDWL.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. River Ebro 1–0 Pradejón (21 Feb 2021)
  2. Pradejón 0–0 River Ebro (22 Nov 2020)
  3. Pradejón 2–1 River Ebro (12 Jan 2020)
  4. River Ebro 3–0 Pradejón (25 Aug 2019)
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