River Ebro vs Cenicero Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward a draw or Cenicero double chance, with the draw and away win each at 45% and a River Ebro victory at only 10%, so the advice reflects a broadly even contest tilted away from the home side. That view is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Cenicero leads on form (100.00 vs 0.00), attack (75.00 vs 25.00) and defence (83.00 vs 17.00), while River Ebro's only clear edge comes in the goals comparison (100.00 vs 0.00) and a strong head-to-head split of 80.00 to 20.00. The head-to-head record, however, is a small and dated sample: a 0-0 draw at Cenicero in March 2022 and a 2-0 River Ebro home win in November 2021, which explains why the h2h metric favours the hosts even though current form points the other way. River Ebro's team analysis shows a three-match losing run (LLL) with no wins, no draws, no clean sheets and two failures to score, including a 7-0 away defeat to Berceo and a 1-2 home loss to Comillas. Cenicero's record is far steadier (DDW), with one win, two draws, no defeats, one clean sheet and only one failure to score, and their goals analysis shows a modest 1.00 goals-for average against 0.70 against, compared with River Ebro's 0.30 scored and 3.30 conceded per game. The goals analysis also hints at late vulnerability for River Ebro, who conceded 50% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window and 30% in the 46-60 window, while Cenicero's three goals are spread across the 16-30, 46-60 and 76-90 periods. The Poisson values are both 0.00, so they add no separating signal, and the total comparison (40.70 home vs 59.30 away) is only a mild lean toward Cenicero rather than a decisive one. The last-five records qualify the picture further: River Ebro's sequence includes a 1-0 win over Peña Balsamaiso from May 2025, while Cenicero's two most recent entries before this season are 2022 defeats to Varea and Haro Deportivo, so the recent-form edge rests on a very small 2026 sample. Overall, the evidence supports the draw-or-Cenicero advice mainly through current form, defensive solidity and River Ebro's poor start, but the head-to-head history and the tiny sample sizes mean the prediction should be treated as uncertain rather than assured.

Predicted winner

Cenicero

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Cenicero

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Cenicero 0–0 River Ebro (20 Mar 2022)
2. River Ebro 2–0 Cenicero (07 Nov 2021)