Bulgaria · Third League - Northeast

Riltzi vs Chernomorets Balchik Prediction

Riltzi badgeRiltzi vs Chernomorets Balchik badgeChernomorets Balchik

Match prediction

  • Chernomorets Balchik's unbeaten six-match form, including three away clean sheets, underpins the double-chance advice despite two recent goalless draws.
  • Riltzi's three straight defeats and 2.80 away goals conceded per game expose defensive fragility that supports avoiding a home win.
  • The model's 50-50 split between away win and draw, with zero home probability, reflects Riltzi's inability to convert home advantage into consistent results.
  • Chernomorets Balchik's dominant head-to-head record, including a 7-0 away win, reinforces the away side's psychological and tactical edge.
  • Riltzi's reliance on home goals, averaging 1.70 versus 0.80 away, suggests their only realistic path to points is a low-scoring draw.
  • Chernomorets Balchik's superior defence, conceding 0.70 per game versus Riltzi's 2.10, makes the draw-or-away double chance the safer proposition.
Predicted winner
Chernomorets Balchik
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Chernomorets Balchik
Home win probability
0%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
50%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorRiltziChernomorets Balchik
Form32.0%68.0%
Attack41.0%59.0%
Defence22.0%78.0%
Poisson13.0%87.0%
H2h7.0%93.0%
Goals14.0%86.0%
Total21.5%78.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Riltzi

Recent form: LWWWLLL.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Chernomorets Balchik

Recent form: DWWWDW.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Riltzi 0–7 Chernomorets Balchik (15 Apr 2026)
  2. Chernomorets Balchik 2–1 Riltzi (11 Oct 2025)
  3. Riltzi 0–3 Chernomorets Balchik (26 Mar 2025)
  4. Chernomorets Balchik 1–1 Riltzi (17 Aug 2024)
  5. Chernomorets Balchik 6–1 Riltzi (08 Apr 2023)
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