Second League · Bulgaria

Rilski Sportist vs Pirin Blagoevgrad Prediction

Rilski Sportist badgeRilski Sportist vs Pirin Blagoevgrad badgePirin Blagoevgrad

Match prediction

The existing model favours Rilski Sportist as the winner, with a 50% home probability and a 50% draw probability leaving Pirin Blagoevgrad at 0%, so the advice is effectively a home-win-or-draw lean rather than a strongly separated home edge. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Rilski Sportist dominate form (100.00 vs 0.00), attack (89.00 vs 11.00), defence (76.00 vs 24.00) and Poisson (95.00 vs 5.00), yet the head-to-head and goals comparison columns are both 0.00 for each side, meaning those two dimensions contribute no separating signal. The team analysis explains the gap: Rilski Sportist have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10 matches with a recent form string of LLDDWDWLWW, while Pirin Blagoevgrad have lost all 10, including a 7-0 away defeat and a 0-3 home defeat, with no clean sheets and 7 failures to score. The goals analysis sharpens that contrast, as Rilski Sportist average 1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match, whereas Pirin Blagoevgrad average only 0.40 scored but 3.20 conceded, a difference that supports the home lean while also hinting at a low-scoring home profile. Rilski Sportist's last five show three wins, one draw and one loss, with the two most recent outings producing 3-1 and 2-0 victories, so their form is trending upward rather than merely accumulated over a longer run. Pirin Blagoevgrad's last five are all defeats, scoring just once across those matches and conceding 13, which makes their 0% away probability understandable even if the small sample of five matches limits how firmly it should be read. The head-to-head record is empty, so there is no historical fixture evidence to either confirm or contradict the model's home-side preference. Overall, the form, attack, defence, Poisson and goals evidence all point the same way, but the 50% draw probability and the absence of head-to-head and goals-comparison separation mean the existing advice should be treated as a directional lean rather than a certainty.

Predicted winner
Rilski Sportist
Betting advice
Winner : Rilski Sportist
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorRilski SportistPirin Blagoevgrad
Form100.0%0.0%
Attack89.0%11.0%
Defence76.0%24.0%
Poisson95.0%5.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total86.7%13.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Rilski Sportist

Recent form: LLDDWDWLWW.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Pirin Blagoevgrad

Recent form: LLLLLLLLLL.

Average goals scored: 0.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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