Netherlands · Derde Divisie

Rijnvogels vs Groene Ster Prediction

Rijnvogels badgeRijnvogels vs Groene Ster badgeGroene Ster

Match prediction

  • Rijnvogels' unbeaten seven-match record with five wins contrasts sharply with Groene Ster's single victory, supporting the home-winner component of the advice.
  • The model's 50-50 split between home and draw, with zero away probability, frames this as a two-outcome contest rather than a clear home edge.
  • Rijnvogels' 2.9 goals per game against Groene Ster's 2.1 conceded per game makes the +1.5 goals leg of the combo highly plausible.
  • Groene Ster's leaky defence, conceding in nearly every match, undermines any suggestion they can keep the score low enough to threaten the over 1.5 threshold.
  • Rijnvogels' recent 0-1 home loss to Vvsb shows their form is not flawless, which explains why the draw retains equal probability to a home win.
  • Head-to-head results favour Rijnvogels but both 2025 meetings were decided by a single goal, tempering confidence in a comfortable home victory.
Predicted winner
Rijnvogels
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Rijnvogels and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorRijnvogelsGroene Ster
Form71.0%29.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence69.0%31.0%
Poisson72.0%28.0%
H2h67.0%33.0%
Goals64.0%36.0%
Total68.3%31.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Rijnvogels

Recent form: DDWWWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.90 per match.

Groene Ster

Recent form: LLDDWDL.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Rijnvogels 3–1 Groene Ster (28 Feb 2026)
  2. Groene Ster 3–2 Rijnvogels (28 Sep 2025)
  3. Groene Ster 0–2 Rijnvogels (17 Aug 2016)
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