Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville Prediction

Match prediction

• One Knoxville's far stronger recent form and defensive record justify favoring them, though Richmond's home advantage and head-to-head edge qualify that lean.
• The model gives One Knoxville and the draw equal 45% probabilities, so the double-chance advice sensibly covers both outcomes rather than backing a single winner.
• Richmond's away defensive collapse, conceding 2.90 goals per game on the road, explains why their overall win probability is only 10%.
• One Knoxville scores 35.71% of goals after the 76th minute, suggesting late pressure could decide a match Richmond often keeps close at home.
• Head-to-head results split 60-40 toward Richmond, but recent form and defensive metrics outweigh that historical edge in the model's assessment.
• Both attacks rate equally at 50, so the prediction rests mainly on One Knoxville's superior defence and form rather than any attacking mismatch.

Predicted winner

One Knoxville

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or One Knoxville

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. One Knoxville 1–0 Richmond Kickers (28 Mar 2026)
2. Richmond Kickers 2–1 One Knoxville (05 Oct 2025)
3. Richmond Kickers 1–0 One Knoxville (24 Aug 2025)
4. One Knoxville 2–0 Richmond Kickers (21 Aug 2025)
5. One Knoxville 1–2 Richmond Kickers (02 Jun 2024)