Richelle United vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives SG-Tertre-Hautrage a 45% chance of winning and Richelle United only 10%, with the draw also at 45%, so the double-chance advice on draw or SG-Tertre-Hautrage reflects a clear lean away from a home victory. That lean is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where SG-Tertre-Hautrage's form score of 63 and defensive score of 73 far outstrip Richelle United's 38 and 27, although Richelle's superior attack score of 56 and Poisson score of 70 introduce a conflicting signal that the model nonetheless does not translate into home-win probability. The team records explain part of this tension: Richelle's 2-0-3 sequence is split entirely by venue, with both wins at home and all three defeats away, while SG-Tertre-Hautrage's 3-1-1 mark includes an unbeaten away record and a three-match winning streak. Richelle's goals analysis is strikingly venue-dependent, averaging 3.00 scored and 0.50 conceded at home but just 1.00 scored and 3.30 conceded away, whereas SG-Tertre-Hautrage is steadier at 1.70 scored and 1.00 conceded at home and 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded away. The last-five records sharpen that contrast, as Richelle alternated wins over Ostiches (4-1) and Union Namur (2-0) with heavy or narrow away losses to Crossing Schaerbeek (5-1), Jette (3-2) and Braine (2-0), while SG-Tertre-Hautrage opened with three straight wins, including 2-0 over Stade Mouscronnois and 1-0 away at La Calamine, before a 1-1 draw and a 1-2 home loss to Ganshoren. SG-Tertre-Hautrage's defensive solidity is further supported by two clean sheets and no failures to score across five matches, compared with one clean sheet and one blank for Richelle, which helps justify why the model favours the away side despite Richelle's stronger attacking and Poisson ratings. The head-to-head section is empty, so no direct meeting history can be used to confirm or challenge the prediction, and the goals and head-to-head comparison fields are also zeroed out, leaving the judgement resting on form, venue splits and recent results. Overall, the evidence points toward SG-Tertre-Hautrage avoiding defeat as the more defensible outcome, but the small five-match samples and Richelle's strong home scoring rate mean the draw component of the advice carries meaningful uncertainty.

Predicted winner

SG-Tertre-Hautrage

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or SG-Tertre-Hautrage

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.