Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven Prediction
· Centreville Bank Stadium
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% Indy Eleven split makes double chance the coherent expression of its uncertainty rather than a confident away win.
- Indy Eleven's stronger attack and form ratings support their inclusion, though Rhode Island's superior Poisson share signals the model sees a closer contest.
- Rhode Island's five home draws against zero away draws suggests their home matches frequently finish level, reinforcing the draw half of the advice.
- Indy Eleven's away record of one win in eleven undermines any outright away victory, justifying the protective draw coverage.
- Head-to-head results show narrow one-goal margins and a recent draw, indicating low separation between these sides and supporting a cautious double chance.
- Both teams' goal totals cluster heavily under 2.5, implying a tight, low-scoring game where avoiding defeat matters more than winning.
- Predicted winner
- Indy Eleven
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Indy Eleven
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Rhode Island | Indy Eleven |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Attack | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Defence | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Poisson | 74.0% | 26.0% |
| H2h | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Goals | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Total | 49.0% | 51.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Rhode Island
Recent form: DLLDWWLDWLWDLWWLWLWLDWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Indy Eleven
Recent form: LWDDWDLWWWLWLLLLDWWLDDWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Indy Eleven 1–0 Rhode Island (31 May 2026)
- Rhode Island 1–0 Indy Eleven (14 Sep 2025)
- Indy Eleven 1–0 Rhode Island (13 Jul 2025)
- Indy Eleven 2–3 Rhode Island (03 Nov 2024)
- Indy Eleven 1–0 Rhode Island (08 Aug 2024)