World · UEFA Nations League

Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria Prediction

Rep. Of Ireland badgeRep. Of Ireland vs Austria badgeAustria

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance, though Austria's superior form and attack ratings create genuine qualification risk.
  • Austria's perfect two-win start and 3.00 goals-per-game average contrast sharply with Ireland's mixed form, weakening the case for an outright home win.
  • Ireland's 80% head-to-head edge rests on just two 2016-17 meetings, a small sample that supports the draw component more than home dominance.
  • Ireland's away wins over Israel and Kosovo show defensive resilience, yet both recent losses and blanks reveal an inconsistent attacking profile.
  • Austria's goals are spread evenly across all six time brackets, suggesting sustained pressure that could trouble Ireland's late-game defending.
  • With Poisson values at zero and no venue data, the model leans on historical and comparative metrics rather than current scoring projections.
Predicted winner
Rep. Of Ireland
Betting advice
Double chance : Rep. Of Ireland or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorRep. Of IrelandAustria
Form33.0%67.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h80.0%20.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total56.0%44.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Rep. Of Ireland

Recent form: LW.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Austria

Recent form: WW.

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Rep. Of Ireland 1–1 Austria (11 Jun 2017)
  2. Austria 0–1 Rep. Of Ireland (12 Nov 2016)
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