Reggiana vs Spezia Prediction
Match prediction
- Spezia's unbeaten seven-match record and superior form justify the draw-or-Spezia double chance despite the model splitting win and draw probabilities evenly.
- Reggiana's strong head-to-head edge conflicts with Spezia's current momentum, so the advice hedges rather than backing an outright away win.
- Spezia's tighter defence and higher scoring rate support their favoured status, though Reggiana's low loss count keeps a draw plausible.
- Reggiana's recent loss to Perugia and single failure to score slightly weaken their home case, reinforcing the cautious double-chance selection.
- Both teams rarely exceed two and a half goals, suggesting a tight contest where the draw component of the advice carries real weight.
- Predicted winner
- Spezia
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Spezia
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Reggiana | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Attack | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Defence | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Poisson | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Total | 47.7% | 52.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Reggiana
Recent form: DWWDWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Spezia
Recent form: DWWWWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Spezia 0–1 Reggiana (28 Feb 2026)
- Reggiana 1–1 Spezia (30 Sep 2025)
- Reggiana 2–1 Spezia (04 May 2025)
- Spezia 1–0 Reggiana (05 Oct 2024)
- Reggiana 0–0 Spezia (16 Mar 2024)