Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez Deportivo Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 35% home and 35% draw probabilities justify double chance despite Recreativo's modest form.
- Recreativo's strong head-to-head record and superior attack metrics support the home side's edge.
- Xerez's better recent form and away scoring threat keep the draw probability elevated, reinforcing the cautious double-chance advice.
- Both teams' leaky defences and low-scoring profiles suggest a tight match where avoiding defeat matters more than winning.
- Recreativo's home advantage and Xerez's away vulnerability tilt the balance, but the narrow margin explains the near-even probabilities.
- Predicted winner
- Recreativo Huelva
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Recreativo Huelva or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Recreativo Huelva | Xerez Deportivo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Attack | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Defence | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Poisson | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| H2h | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Total | 53.0% | 47.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Recreativo Huelva
Recent form: WLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Xerez Deportivo
Recent form: LWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Recreativo Huelva 3–2 Xerez Deportivo (03 May 2026)
- Xerez Deportivo 1–1 Recreativo Huelva (07 Dec 2025)
- Recreativo Huelva 0–0 Xerez Deportivo (16 Apr 2023)
- Xerez Deportivo 0–1 Recreativo Huelva (04 Dec 2022)