Recolta Gheorghe Doja vs Progresul Fundulea Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Progresul Fundulea a 45% win probability and Recolta Gheorghe Doja only 10%, with the draw also at 45%, so the advice of a draw-or-Progresul double chance combined with over 1.5 goals rests on a narrow edge rather than a clear favourite. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where form is perfectly level at 50.00 for both sides, meaning recent results alone do not separate them. The attacking and defensive splits do lean toward the visitors, with Progresul ahead on attack (57.00 vs 43.00), defence (53.00 vs 47.00), Poisson (58.00 vs 42.00), goals (58.00 vs 42.00) and total (56.00 vs 44.00), while head-to-head also favours them at 60.00 to 40.00. Both teams show identical five-game records of three wins and two defeats, but the shape differs: Recolta's LLWWW includes a 1-4 home loss and a 3-5 away defeat, whereas Progresul's WWLLW contains a 4-0 home win and two away losses by 2-4. The goals analysis supports the over 1.5 element, since Recolta average 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded per game and Progresul 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, with both failing to score in none of their matches. Progresul's home scoring average of 4.00 against a home concession rate of just 0.50 is striking, but their away numbers reverse sharply to 1.70 scored and 2.70 conceded, which qualifies any assumption of away dominance. The head-to-head record is genuinely mixed across ten meetings, including a 6-2 Progresul win in May 2026 and a 2-1 Recolta win in March 2026, so the 60-40 split reflects a real but not decisive historical edge. Minute-level goal data is only populated for Recolta, showing their concessions clustering late (40% in the 76-90 window), while Progresul's timing breakdown is unavailable, so no timing-based conclusion can be drawn for the visitors. Overall, the evidence points to a close, high-scoring contest in which the double chance and over 1.5 goals are plausible but far from certain, given the level form and the visitors' markedly weaker away defensive record.

Predicted winner

Progresul Fundulea

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Progresul Fundulea and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Recolta Gheorghe Doja 2–6 Progresul Fundulea (02 May 2026)
2. Recolta Gheorghe Doja 2–1 Progresul Fundulea (21 Mar 2026)
3. Progresul Fundulea 2–0 Recolta Gheorghe Doja (25 Oct 2025)
4. Progresul Fundulea 3–2 Recolta Gheorghe Doja (30 Jul 2025)
5. Recolta Gheorghe Doja 4–2 Progresul Fundulea (17 May 2025)