Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 · Spain
Real Zaragoza II vs Robres Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward Real Zaragoza II as the winner, but its 45% home probability is matched by a 45% draw probability and only 10% for Robres, so the advice is better read as a slight edge than a clear separation. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Zaragoza II dominates form (88 versus 13), defence (78 versus 22), Poisson (100 versus 0), head-to-head (80 versus 20), goals (67 versus 33) and total (72.6 versus 27.6), yet attack is level at 50 for both sides, suggesting the model's confidence rests more on defensive and contextual gaps than on superior scoring output. The team analysis supports that reading: Zaragoza II are unbeaten in three with a WWD form line, two wins and one draw, while Robres are winless in three with an LLD line, two defeats and one draw. Zaragoza II's goals analysis is notably tidy, with five goals scored at 1.70 per game and only two conceded at 0.70 per game, including a clean sheet at home and no blanks in front of goal. Robres present the opposite profile, scoring the same five goals but conceding seven at 2.30 per game, with no clean sheets and a 4-3 away defeat at Atlético Monzón highlighting how open their matches can become. The last-five records extend this contrast: Zaragoza II have three wins, one draw and one loss across a longer window, whereas Robres have one draw and four defeats, including two 0-1 and 0-2 losses in May 2026. The head-to-head record is the most direct counterweight, since Zaragoza II won 2-1 at home in March 2022 and 2-1 away in November 2021, but the two most recent meetings in the sample include a goalless draw in December 2019 and an unplayed fixture in May 2020, so the 80-20 split rests on a small and partly incomplete set of matches. Overall, the evidence points to Zaragoza II being the more solid side and the more likely winner, but the equal attack scores, the substantial draw probability and the thin head-to-head sample mean the prediction should be treated as a modest lean rather than a firm conclusion.
- Predicted winner
- Real Zaragoza II
- Betting advice
- Winner : Real Zaragoza II
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Real Zaragoza II | Robres |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88.0% | 13.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Total | 72.6% | 27.6% |
Team form and goal analysis
Real Zaragoza II
Recent form: WWD.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Robres
Recent form: LLD.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Real Zaragoza II 2–1 Robres (27 Mar 2022)
- Robres 1–2 Real Zaragoza II (21 Nov 2021)
- Real Zaragoza II —–— Robres (03 May 2020)
- Robres 0–0 Real Zaragoza II (21 Dec 2019)


