Real Sociedad W vs Real Madrid W Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model names Real Madrid W as the winner, yet its own probabilities split evenly at 50% draw and 50% away with 0% for a Real Sociedad W victory, so the advice rests on a narrow two-way call rather than a clear edge. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Real Madrid W leads form (83 vs 17), attack (73 vs 27), defence (67 vs 33), Poisson (100 vs 0), head-to-head (100 vs 0) and goals (82 vs 18), while the aggregate total still reads 76.30 to 23.80 rather than a clean sweep. The team analysis explains part of that gap: Real Sociedad W are winless in four (two draws, two losses, form LLDD) and have scored just three goals at 0.80 per game, whereas Real Madrid W are unbeaten in four (three wins, one draw, form WDWW) with eight goals at 2.00 per game. Defensively the contrast is sharper still, as Real Madrid W concede 0.80 per game with two clean sheets and none away from home, while Real Sociedad W ship 1.50 per game and have kept only one clean sheet. The goal-timing data adds texture rather than a decisive tilt, with Real Madrid W scoring half their goals in the 31-45 window and Real Sociedad W's concessions clustering late (42.86% in the 76-90 range), which hints at a possible second-half risk for the hosts. The last-five records broadly echo the season form, as Real Sociedad W have drawn three and lost two without a win, including a 0-0 at Hearts W and a 0-1 home defeat to Chelsea W, while Real Madrid W have won three and drawn two, among them a 3-1 win over Valencia W and a 1-1 draw with Paris Saint Germain W. The head-to-head record is the most awkward evidence for the hosts, since Real Madrid W have won six of the last ten meetings and the most recent fixture at this same Zubieta venue ended 0-3 to the visitors, though Real Sociedad W did win 1-0 in Madrid in December 2025 and have taken points in this matchup before. Taken together, the evidence supports the away-winner advice as the more plausible outcome, but the 50% draw probability and Real Sociedad W's habit of grinding out draws mean the prediction should be treated as a lean rather than a certainty.

Predicted winner

Real Madrid W

Betting advice

Winner : Real Madrid W

Home win probability

0%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

50%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Real Sociedad W 0–3 Real Madrid W (14 Mar 2026)
2. Real Madrid W 1–0 Real Sociedad W (06 Dec 2025)
3. Real Madrid W 3–0 Real Sociedad W (30 Mar 2025)
4. Real Sociedad W 1–4 Real Madrid W (04 Feb 2025)
5. Real Madrid W 3–2 Real Sociedad W (23 Jan 2025)