Ravenna vs Gubbio Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Ravenna a 45% home win and 45% draw against Gubbio’s 10% away win, so the “Ravenna or draw” double chance reflects a combined 90% probability rather than a clear single winner. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Ravenna’s form score of 65 and defensive score of 89 far exceed Gubbio’s 35 and 11, and the Poisson split of 84 to 16 points the same way. However, the head-to-head metric is the main counterweight, favouring Gubbio 62 to 38, and the goals comparison is also slightly against Ravenna at 45 to 55, so the advice is not uniformly backed. Ravenna’s team analysis shows six matches without defeat, four wins and two draws, with four clean sheets and only two goals conceded, while Gubbio have two wins, one draw and three losses, no clean sheets and eleven goals against. The last-five records sharpen that contrast: Ravenna have four wins and a draw, including 2-0 at Atalanta II and 3-0 at home to Perugia, whereas Gubbio have three wins but also a 0-2 home loss to Ostia Mare and a 1-1 draw at Pescara. Ravenna’s goals analysis shows ten scored and two conceded, an average of 1.70 for and 0.30 against, with 40% of their goals arriving in the 76-90 minute window, while Gubbio have nine scored and eleven conceded, averaging 1.50 for and 1.80 against. The head-to-head record is genuinely mixed and partly stale: Ravenna won 2-0 away in March 2026 and drew 1-1 at home in November 2025, but Gubbio won 3-1 at home in 2021 and 2-0 at Ravenna in 2018, so the 62-38 split rests on older results as much as recent ones. Overall, the form, defensive and Poisson evidence jointly support the double chance, but the head-to-head and goals metrics qualify it, and the small six-match samples mean the 45% draw probability should be treated as a meaningful risk rather than a formality.

Predicted winner

Ravenna

Betting advice

Double chance : Ravenna or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Gubbio 0–2 Ravenna (29 Mar 2026)
2. Ravenna 1–1 Gubbio (22 Nov 2025)
3. Gubbio 3–1 Ravenna (07 Mar 2021)
4. Ravenna 1–2 Gubbio (11 Nov 2020)
5. Gubbio —–— Ravenna (05 Apr 2020)