Norway · NM Cupen

Raufoss vs Start Prediction

· NAMMO Stadion

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Raufoss or draw and +1.5 goals

Raufoss badgeRaufoss vs Start badgeStart

Match prediction

  • The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
  • Raufoss's perfect defensive comparison and two clean-sheet away wins support avoiding an away-only bet, though their heavy loss to Kongsvinger shows volatility.
  • Start's away form includes a 3-2 win and a 2-1 home win over Brann, so they carry scoring threat despite the low 10% away probability.
  • Both teams scored in every recent Start match and Raufoss's goals cluster before the hour, making the +1.5 goals component well supported.
  • Head-to-head favors Raufoss 71% to 29%, but recent meetings include a 4-0 Start win and a goalless draw, tempering any home dominance.
  • The small two-match samples behind both teams' form and goal averages mean the defensive extremes should be treated cautiously rather than as stable trends.
Predicted winner
Raufoss
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Raufoss or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorRaufossStart
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack58.0%42.0%
Defence100.0%0.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h71.0%29.0%
Goals46.0%54.0%
Total56.3%43.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Raufoss

Recent form: WW.

Average goals scored: 3.50 per match.

Start

Recent form: WW.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Start 4–0 Raufoss (04 Oct 2025)
  2. Raufoss 0–0 Start (11 May 2025)
  3. Start 1–2 Raufoss (26 Aug 2024)
  4. Raufoss 2–1 Start (23 Jun 2024)
  5. Raufoss 2–1 Start (20 Aug 2023)
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