Raslavice vs Spišská Nová Ves Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double chance the coherent expression of near-equal probabilities, not a confident away win.
• Raslavice's perfect home record and 2.30 home scoring average conflict with the model's 10% home probability, suggesting the venue edge is being discounted.
• Spišská Nová Ves's superior attack, defence and goals metrics support their 45% share, yet their away form shows one win and a 3-0 loss.
• The Poisson split favouring Raslavice 75-25 directly contradicts the head-to-head record, where Spišská Nová Ves won all four meetings.
• Both teams sit on identical 50% form and five wins, so the draw component of the advice is well grounded in evenly matched recent results.
• Spišská Nová Ves failed to score in three away matches, a risk that keeps the draw leg valuable despite their statistical edge.

Predicted winner

Spišská Nová Ves

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Spišská Nová Ves

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Raslavice 1–2 Spišská Nová Ves (18 Apr 2026)
2. Spišská Nová Ves 2–0 Raslavice (20 Sep 2025)
3. Spišská Nová Ves 4–2 Raslavice (30 Apr 2022)
4. Raslavice 1–2 Spišská Nová Ves (12 Sep 2021)