Rapperswil Jona W vs Aarau W Prediction

Match prediction

• The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the Rapperswil Jona win carries clear uncertainty despite their stronger overall profile.
• Rapperswil Jona's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings support the home side, though their winless home record and three-game losing streak qualify that edge.
• Aarau's seven-match run without a win, including heavy defeats, explains their low 10% win probability and reinforces the home-leaning advice.
• The head-to-head record favours Aarau strongly, a genuine conflict with the form and Poisson evidence that tempers confidence in a Rapperswil Jona victory.
• Both teams concede regularly and neither keeps clean sheets, making the +1.5 goals component of the combo advice well supported by the goal data.
• Aarau's attack averages only 0.7 goals per game, so the goal expectation rests more on their leaky defence than on their own scoring threat.

Predicted winner

Rapperswil Jona W

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Rapperswil Jona W and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Rapperswil Jona W 0–0 Aarau W (18 Mar 2026)
2. Aarau W 1–1 Rapperswil Jona W (04 Oct 2025)
3. Aarau W 3–1 Rapperswil Jona W (01 Mar 2025)
4. Rapperswil Jona W 0–1 Aarau W (21 Sep 2024)
5. Aarau W 3–2 Rapperswil Jona W (09 Mar 2024)