3. Division - Girone 2 · Norway
Ranheim II vs Volda Prediction
Ranheim II vs
Volda
Final result: Ranheim II 1–3 Volda (Match Finished)
Match prediction
The existing model gives Volda a combined 90% chance of winning or drawing (45% draw, 45% away win) against Ranheim II's 10%, and its advice of a draw-or-Volda double chance with over 1.5 goals rests on a comparison profile that is lopsided almost everywhere except attack. Form, defence, Poisson, head-to-head, goals and total metrics all tilt heavily toward Volda (73 vs 27, 83 vs 17, 68 vs 32, 93 vs 7, 92 vs 8 and 76.5 vs 23.5 respectively), yet the attack split is dead even at 50-50, which is the one clear tension in an otherwise one-sided evidence set. That tension is partly explained by Ranheim II's scoring output: they average 2.60 goals per game overall and 3.00 at home, so they are not toothless, but their defensive record of 3.30 conceded per game, including 4.00 away, undercuts any suggestion they can control this match. Volda's team analysis reinforces the model's lean, with 13 wins, only 3 defeats and 8 clean sheets from 20 games, plus a seven-match winning streak, compared with Ranheim II's 6 wins, 9 losses and a single clean sheet. The goals analysis adds nuance to the over 1.5 advice: Ranheim II's matches have gone over 1.5 goals 11 times out of 20, while Volda's have done so 15 times out of 20, and Volda's defensive solidity (1.10 conceded per game, with only 2 of 20 games seeing them concede more than 2.5) suggests the main risk to the combo is a low-scoring Volda win rather than a Ranheim II upset. Recent form supports that reading, as Volda's last five include three wins, a draw and a loss, whereas Ranheim II's last five contain three defeats, including a 9-0 loss to Herd and 4-1 losses to Nardo and Byåsen, though their 7-0 win at Kvik Trondheim shows the volatility of this small sample. The head-to-head record is the strongest single signal for the model, with Volda winning 7-0 and 5-1 at home in 2026 and 2025, Ranheim II's only success a 2-0 home win in March 2025, and a 10-1 Volda win in 2021, while the 2020 meeting has no recorded score and is therefore uninformative. Taken together, the evidence broadly supports the existing draw-or-Volda plus over 1.5 goals advice, but the even attack metric, Ranheim II's home scoring rate and the possibility of a controlled low-scoring Volda win mean the over 1.5 leg carries more uncertainty than the double-chance leg.
- Predicted winner
- Volda
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Volda and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Ranheim II | Volda |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| Poisson | 32.0% | 68.0% |
| H2h | 7.0% | 93.0% |
| Goals | 8.0% | 92.0% |
| Total | 23.5% | 76.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Ranheim II
Recent form: LDWLDLWLDDWWLWLLDWLL.
Average goals scored: 2.60 per match.
Volda
Recent form: WWLDWLLDWWWWWWWDWWWD.
Average goals scored: 2.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Volda 7–0 Ranheim II (27 Jul 2026)
- Volda 5–1 Ranheim II (26 Oct 2025)
- Ranheim II 0–2 Volda (29 Mar 2025)
- Volda 10–1 Ranheim II (04 Sep 2021)
- Volda —–— Ranheim II (05 Sep 2020)
