Ragusa vs Trapani 1905 Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Ragusa a 45% home win and 45% draw probability against Trapani 1905, leaving only 10% for an away win, so the "Ragusa or draw" double chance reflects a strongly one-sided but not decisive forecast. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Ragusa dominates form (100.00 vs 0.00), attack (80.00 vs 20.00) and Poisson (100.00 vs 0.00), yet the head-to-head split of 0.00 versus 100.00 and the goals split of 7.00 versus 93.00 point the other way. The head-to-head record explains that conflict, since Trapani won all four meetings — 4-0 and 2-0 at home, plus 3-0 and 5-0 away — so the historical series is a small but entirely pro-Trapani sample that the current form data contradicts. Ragusa's own profile is modest rather than commanding: a DLDL form line with two home draws and two away defeats, no clean sheets in four matches, and 1.00 goals scored per game against 1.80 conceded. Trapani's form is worse still, an LLLL run with four defeats, three failures to score, and only 0.30 goals per game while conceding 2.50, including a 0-4 home loss and a 0-2 away defeat. The last-five records add nuance, as Ragusa's sequence includes a 0-1 loss at Licata and a 1-3 loss at Milazzo alongside home draws with Vigor Lamezia, Modica and Messina, while Trapani's includes a 1-3 home loss to Igea Virtus and a 2-2 draw with Siracusa. The goal-timing data suggests late vulnerability on both sides, with Ragusa conceding 28.57% of goals in the opening 15 minutes and Trapani conceding 30% in the 76-90 window, while Ragusa's own goals are split evenly between the 31-45 and 76-90 periods. Overall, the probabilities and comparison metrics favour Ragusa because Trapani's current collapse is severe, but the perfect Trapani head-to-head record and Ragusa's winless, draw-heavy form mean the draw component of the advice carries real weight rather than serving as a formality.

Predicted winner

Ragusa

Betting advice

Double chance : Ragusa or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Ragusa 0–3 Trapani 1905 (07 Jan 2024)
2. Trapani 1905 4–0 Ragusa (10 Sep 2023)
3. Trapani 1905 2–0 Ragusa (06 Apr 2023)
4. Ragusa 1–5 Trapani 1905 (27 Nov 2022)