Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's three-way probabilities are nearly level, so the double-chance advice reflects risk reduction rather than a clear home edge.
- Radomiak's superior attack and Poisson ratings support the home side, yet their weaker recent form and leaky defence temper that advantage.
- Pogon's better form rating and stronger defence counterbalance their poor away record, explaining why the draw carries equal weight to a home win.
- Both head-to-head meetings were friendlies, one drawn and one unplayed, so that split offers little predictive signal for this fixture.
- Radomiak's home scoring average of 2.30 contrasts with Pogon's modest 1.00, suggesting the home side is likelier to find the net.
- Pogon's tendency toward draws and low-scoring games reinforces the draw component of the double-chance advice.
- Predicted winner
- Radomiak Radom
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Radomiak Radom or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Radomiak Radom | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Attack | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Defence | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| Poisson | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 51.7% | 48.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Radomiak Radom
Recent form: WWWDWLLLLWLLD.
Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Recent form: LLDLDDLWDDLL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Radomiak Radom —–— Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (24 Jan 2026)
- Radomiak Radom 1–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (02 Jul 2025)