Racing Louisville W vs Utah Royals W Prediction
· Lynn Family Stadium
Match prediction
- Utah's perfect recent form against Louisville's five-match losing run justifies favoring the visitors despite playing away.
- The draw and away win share equal probability, so the double chance advice correctly hedges against Utah's inability to dominate this matchup outright.
- Louisville's zero clean sheets all season and 2.40 away goals conceded per game suggest they rarely shut opponents down.
- Utah's superior attack, defence and Poisson ratings align with their head-to-head edge, though Louisville's home scoring average slightly narrows that gap.
- Both teams' goal timing clusters around the 16-30 and 46-60 windows, hinting at a moderately open contest rather than a stalemate.
- Louisville's poor home win rate and Utah's stronger away record support the model's low 10% home-win probability.
- Predicted winner
- Utah Royals W
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Utah Royals W
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Racing Louisville W | Utah Royals W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 39.0% | 61.0% |
| Poisson | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| H2h | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Goals | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Total | 41.0% | 59.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Racing Louisville W
Recent form: LDLLWLLWLLLLLDWLWWWWLLLLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Utah Royals W
Recent form: LLDWWWWWDWWDLLWWLWLWLWLWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Utah Royals W 2–1 Racing Louisville W (18 May 2026)
- Utah Royals W 3–2 Racing Louisville W (20 Sep 2025)
- Racing Louisville W 3–2 Utah Royals W (07 Jun 2025)
- Utah Royals W 1–0 Racing Louisville W (29 Sep 2024)
- Racing Louisville W 5–1 Utah Royals W (20 Apr 2024)