Rače vs Ljutomer Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance rather than a straight win, since neither outcome dominates.
- Rače's superior form and head-to-head scores support the advice, though their winless home record and three home draws explain the cautious draw coverage.
- Ljutomer's away record of no wins and 2.30 goals conceded per away match weakens their case, reinforcing Rače or draw.
- Both attacks rate equally at 50, so Rače's edge comes from defence and form rather than a clear attacking mismatch.
- Rače's low-scoring profile, with no match exceeding 2.5 goals, suggests a tight contest where the draw component of the advice carries real weight.
- Ljutomer's habit of scoring and conceding late means the result could shift after the break, keeping the draw protection relevant.
- Predicted winner
- Rače
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Rače or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Rače | Ljutomer |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Poisson | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| H2h | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Total | 63.7% | 36.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Rače
Recent form: DLDLLDW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Ljutomer
Recent form: WLWLDDLL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Rače 1–0 Ljutomer (14 Mar 2026)
- Ljutomer 1–1 Rače (30 Aug 2025)


