Slovenia · 3. SNL - East

Rače vs Ljutomer Prediction

Rače badgeRače vs Ljutomer badgeLjutomer

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance rather than a straight win, since neither outcome dominates.
  • Rače's superior form and head-to-head scores support the advice, though their winless home record and three home draws explain the cautious draw coverage.
  • Ljutomer's away record of no wins and 2.30 goals conceded per away match weakens their case, reinforcing Rače or draw.
  • Both attacks rate equally at 50, so Rače's edge comes from defence and form rather than a clear attacking mismatch.
  • Rače's low-scoring profile, with no match exceeding 2.5 goals, suggests a tight contest where the draw component of the advice carries real weight.
  • Ljutomer's habit of scoring and conceding late means the result could shift after the break, keeping the draw protection relevant.
Predicted winner
Rače
Betting advice
Double chance : Rače or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorRačeLjutomer
Form71.0%29.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence60.0%40.0%
Poisson54.0%46.0%
H2h80.0%20.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total63.7%36.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Rače

Recent form: DLDLLDW.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Ljutomer

Recent form: WLWLDDLL.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Rače 1–0 Ljutomer (14 Mar 2026)
  2. Ljutomer 1–1 Rače (30 Aug 2025)
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