Queen's University vs Moyola Park Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Queen's University, with a 50% home probability and a 50% draw probability leaving Moyola Park at 0%, and the advised combo of a Queen's University win with over 1.5 goals reflects that same tilt. That tilt is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Queen's University dominates form (75 versus 25), attack (78 versus 22), defence (86 versus 14), Poisson (94 versus 6), head-to-head (93 versus 7), goals (81 versus 19) and total (84.5 versus 15.5), suggesting the edge is broad rather than isolated to one dimension. The team analysis supports this, as Queen's University have five wins, one draw and two losses from eight, including a perfect 4-0-0 home record with a 6-0 best win, while Moyola Park have two wins, two draws and four losses and have yet to win away. Queen's University's goals analysis is similarly strong, averaging 2.30 goals scored and only 0.80 conceded, whereas Moyola Park average 1.10 scored and 2.10 conceded, with an away concession rate of 3.30 that could be exposed. The last-five records add nuance: Queen's University won four of five, including 6-0 and 4-1 home wins, but lost their most recent match 1-0 away to Rathfriland, while Moyola Park's five produced a 0-0 draw, a 6-2 loss, a 1-4 loss, a 1-0 win and a 0-2 loss. The head-to-head record is the most conflicting section, since across ten meetings Queen's University won four, Moyola Park won five and one was drawn, and Moyola Park won the most recent encounter 2-0 in April 2025, which qualifies the strong 93-7 head-to-head comparison score. The goals data also tempers the over 1.5 advice slightly, because Queen's University went under 1.5 total goals in four of eight matches and Moyola Park did so in five of eight, even though both teams' defensive records suggest goals are plausible. Overall, the form, home/away splits and goal differentials point toward a Queen's University win with goals, but the recent head-to-head result and the small eight-match samples mean the 50% draw probability and the 0% away probability should be treated as model estimates rather than certainties.

Predicted winner

Queen's University

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Queen's University and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

50%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

0%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Moyola Park 0–2 Queen's University (19 Apr 2025)
2. Queen's University 6–1 Moyola Park (21 Dec 2024)
3. Moyola Park 0–2 Queen's University (13 Jan 2024)
4. Queen's University 2–2 Moyola Park (02 Sep 2023)
5. Moyola Park 1–5 Queen's University (25 Apr 2023)